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Cheers Browe has a number of factors in his favour to suggest the Savabeel gelding will take out the tab.com.au Maiden Plate (1550m) at Canterbury on Wednesday.
Photo by Racing and Sports
The John O’Shea-trained three-year-old lines up in a field of 12 where he possesses the highest 50 day Timeform figure of the field by five pounds.
Cheers Browe has finished second in his past two outings and was most unlucky not to go one better last start at Kembla Grange.
After trying to make all at Newcastle two back, Cheers Browe was ridden more quietly last start and it resulted in the three-year-old being rolled as second favourite.
From an awkward barrier, Cheers Browe found himself caught three wide with no cover.
While Cheers Browe looked the winner at one point down the straight, the petrol he used up mid run took its toll over the final stages as the gelding was swamped late and finished second.
Cheers Browe will have taken benefit from the outing though and should be somewhere around his peak fourth up.
From three career outings at this approximate trip, Cheers Browe has finished second during each of them and profiles well lining up in the tab.com.au Maiden Plate at Canterbury on Wednesday.
Cheers Browe during a six start career to date has shown his versatility in terms of settling position which should benefit the gelding on Wednesday.
He has rattled home into a minor placing from midfield or worse on two occasions while the prematurely greying three-year-old wasn’t far off making all at Newcastle second up this campaign.
From barrier 2, expect a happy medium as Cheers Browe likely settles either just outside or behind the early speed if not making it himself.
It is hard to imagine anything stronger than a medium tempo being set which should benefit Cheers Browe on the assumption jockey Nash Rawiller utilises their inside barrier and takes up that anticipated forward spot.
Over the 1550m at Canterbury, 27.6% of winners find themselves sitting in front at the 400m which is a definite option for Rawiller and Cheers Browe.
The addition of Nash Rawiller is a huge boost also when looking at the success of John O’Shea and the leading Sydney hoop in partnership.
The pair boasts a winning strike rate of 36% while O’Shea possesses a 20% winners to runners strike rate at Canterbury.
This season Nash Rawiller is enjoying a 22% success rate at Canterbury, up slightly on his overall percentage there of 20%.
Many factors auger well for Cheers Browe’s chances of breaking maiden status on Wednesday however the field does include some promising sorts who have the potential to make things interesting.
While there are points against him, Senta Desert is an obvious danger to Cheers Browe.
The Encosta De Lago gelding has been transferred to the Gerald Ryan stable after a four start maiden preparation under Graeme Rogerson.
Senta Desert has the same master Timeform figure as Cheers Browe having run to 81 during his debut at Hawkesbury last spring.
Resuming over 1550m means there is a huge query surrounding his fitness first up despite a pair of trials leading into Wednesday’s Set Weight Maiden contest.
Favouring the three-year-old though will be his ability to take up a forward position as evidenced throughout his short but encouraging maiden preparation.
That will be the likely scenario for Senta Desert from barrier 10.
Runhardasun shapes as an improver second up.
The Chris Waller-trained gelding worked to the line well on resuming last start when finishing fifth at this track over 1250m.
The Haradasun three-year-old will take benefit from that outing and watch for him working into the picture late.
Runhardasun must improve on his current master figure of 71 though if a maiden success is to ensue at Canterbury on Wednesday.
Furthermore, Runhardasun has shown his preference of settling midfield or worse over two career outings which appears against the gelding.
Twenty Carats is coming off a career best performance at Newcastle where he ran fourth as a 100-1 shot.
The De Beers gelding sat outside the speed on that occasion and potentially might try something similar here.
Twenty Carats latest performance returned a Timeform rating of 74 which would see him highly competitive in this contest.
Whether the penny has dropped for the Lionel Cohen three-year-old or if his last effort was just a one off will be a question answered on Wednesday.
Belladini ran well below what is required to be a factor here upon resuming at this course over 1100m.
The Gai Waterhouse-trained filly showed promise during her maiden preparation though and with even luck from barrier 14, should improve on her last start Timeform figure.
The Bernardini filly ran to 57 first up over the sprint journey which comes in 18 pounds shy of her master Timeform figure.
Belladini has scope for improvement second up rising in distance however will need favours from the 14 alley.
Overall though, Cheers Browe ticks all the boxes necessary to make him an appealing betting proposition in the tab.com.au Maiden Plate at Canterbury on Wednesday.