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The Stats Report with Simon Dinopoulos

3 minute read

The Stats Report with Simon Dinopoulos

Surely Thud can win for the Snowdens this week Picture: Racing and Sports

ZEROING IN

We go about finding a weekend special from a statistical angle.

Rosehill Race 8 - 7 Thud

Much has been made of her two runs this time in and in truth she could be unbeaten if the luck had fallen her way.

While only possessing the two wins to her name she is a mare with good ability and gets her chance to break back into the winner's stall on Saturday.

The step up to 1350m is a slight query but given she is a dual acceptor and they lean this way the Snowden camp are obviously confident she will see it out.

Thud is a mare who needs to be cuddled up as long as possible so from the inside draw Tye Angland should be able to smoother her away before producing her late in the piece.

Her last start performance saw her return a new career peak and if able to repeat that level of performance she is sure to be hard to beat.

Key Trends

  • No secret the Snowden camp is on fire striking at 24% from their last 50 runners and 21% with gallopers who finish second at their start prior.
  • With favourites they are striking at 38% and 25% with gallopers priced between even money and 5-1.
  • Over this distance range the Snowden camp is striking at 25% and this season has run at a POT of +46.2%.
  • Simon Dinopoulos’ Three Tips for Sky Sports Radio

  • Race 2 - No 11 - Kingsguard
  • Race 7 - No 7 - Moral Victory
  • Race 8 - No 7 - Thud