Betfair Hub Brownlow Medal Predictor - Rounds 4 to 0 + Betting Strategies

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Betfair’s unique Brownlow Medal predictor offers game-by-game analysis and vote predictions for every round of the 2024 AFL premiership season. Part 4 covers rounds 4 to 0 and suggested betting strategies.

ROUND 4 | PREDICTED VOTES

Christian Petracca led the way as the Demons upset the Crows party in the opening match of Gather Round, with the 4x All Australian picking up 29 disposals (team high), 15 contested possessions, 8 clearances, 7 inside 50s, 10 score involvements (all game highs) and booting a goal.

Steven May was elite as always in defence with 19 disposals, 9 marks (3 of which were contested) and intercepting the ball on 6 occasions.

Young Crow Jake Soligo was one of their top contributors in the 15-point loss, collecting 27 disposals, 6 clearances (team high), 14 contested possessions (team high), and laying 8 tackles.

Joe Daniher cashed in on the Kangaroos poor and inexperienced defence, booting 5 goals from 20 disposals and taking 12 marks in an easy 3-vote performance.

Hugh McCluggage was brilliant in the guts, winning a career high- 36 disposals! McCluggage impressed with 545 meters gained, 10 inside 50s and 14 contested possessions-all of which were the most of any Lion- as well as 6 clearances and 10 score involvements.

Dayne Zorko proved he still has plenty left in the tank with 28 disposals and a goal, whilst Josh Dunkley got his hands dirty with 31 touches, 7 clearances, 13 contested and 8 tackles.

Port Adelaide turned it on in front of their home crowd, with their star trio of young midsdoing most of the damage.

Skipper- Connor Rozee had one of the best games of his career and is a lock for the 3 votes, picking up 36 disposals, 16 contested possessions (both are career highs) and also kicking 3 goals! Not much more he could have done.

Jason Horne- Francis had the first 30 disposal match of his short career and got heavily involved with 10 clearances (game high), 7 inside 50s, 7 score involvements and 13 contested possessions.

Reigning Best and Fairest- Zak Butters excited with 26 disposals with 12 of them contested, also laying 7 tackles and directly assisting in 3 goals.

The Swans had to work hard for a victory against the Wooden Spoon favourites West Coast, having to play all 4- quarters to pick up 4 points.

Isaac Heeney continued his terrific run of form that sees him as the Brownlow Medal favourite, collecting a team high- 26 disposals and 17 contested, filling the stats sheet with 2 goals, 4 assists, 7 clearances.

Heeney has competition with proven vote getter- Errol Gulden, who cut the Eagles open with his 25 disposals (22 of which were kicks), leading the match for meters gained with 719, having 7 clearances and kicking 2 goals.

West Coast Skipper- Liam Duggan was brilliant with 30 disposals, 12 marks and 698 meters gained in a game where the Eagles turned up and made for a competitive match.

Although the Dockers lost in controversial fashion, Andrew Brayshaw played his best game of the season and will likely secure best on ground honours- collecting a game high 38 disposals and well as 13 contested and 6 clearances.

Jacob Weitering was a rock in defence with 21 disposals in a low disposal game for the winning Blues, as well as 12 marks and 7 intercept possessions.

Charlie Curnow proved he's still the main man in the Carlton forward line, booting 3 goals and having 12 disposals coming from 12 marks.

There was a number of massive performances in this matchup, with the stats sheet getting stuffed within an inch of its life. Tom Liberatore had a ridiculous 19 clearances and 28 contested possessions from his 35 disposals, also laying 9 tackles and kicking a goal. Numbers like that through the midfield don't come too often.

Marcus Bontempelli was brilliant as always with 35 disposals, 698 meters gained, 7 clearances, 10 tackles, 1 goal on the run from 50 meters out and 2 goal assists.

Jeremy Cameron was everywhere, picking up a team high- 27 disposals, 8 marks and kicking 2 goals as the Cats best player

Pen Toby Greene in for the 3 votes with his 5-goal performance against the Giants, with the skipper collecting 17 disposals and assisting in 3 more goals.

Stephen Coniglio was the best of the Giants midfielders, having 27 disposals, 5 clearances, a team high- 625 meters gained and kicking 2 goals.

Suns star- Noah Anderson gets the nod for the minor votes despite the loss, picking up a game high- 33 disposals, being involved in 7 scores and kicking a goal.

The Saints copped a fright from the plucky Tigers but were strong enough to hold onto the 4 points. Jack Steele was the best player on the ground with his 33 disposals, 7 clearances, 18 contested possessions and 10 tackles all game highs.

Shai Bolton's class caused plenty of headaches for the Saints defenders, booting 4 goals, taking 9 marks and having 19 disposals.

2017 Brownlow Medallist- Dustin Martin reminded the football world what he's capable of with 30 disposals, 8 marks, 2 goal assists and 6 inside 50s.

Despite the scare from the Hawks against the reigning Premiers, Jordan De Goey is all but a lock to receive the 3 votes, with 31 disposals, 6 clearances, 8 inside 50s, 1 goal and 2 assistsin his best game of the season.

Blake Hardwick proved the experiment to move forward may pay off, booting 4 goals from 15 disposals.

Young bull Jai Newcombe was the best of the Hawks midfielders with 26 disposals, 1 goal and a game high 10 clearances.

Josh Daicos was damaging with 30 disposals, making 471 meters for his side and assisting in 2 goals.

ROUND 3 | PREDICTED VOTES

Nick Daicos has finally cashed in with some Brownlow votes, with Collingwood registering their opening win of the season. Daicos' form to start the season has been superb, but itsdifficult to poll in losses, especially when going in as favourite. His 30 disposals were a team high as were his 650 meters gained.

Lachie Neale couldn't have done more in the Lions loss, with the reigning Brownlow medallist picking up 35 disposals, 10 clearances, 20 contested (all game highs) and kicking a goal.

Jamie Elliott made a big impact up forward with 4 goals from 16 disposals and a team high 7 score involvements.

It was the Carlton twin-towers that caused havoc against North Melbourne on Good Friday for the second year running.

Harry McKay has brought fear back to all opposition defenders now that he can kick straight for goal, booting 5 goals from 19 disposals, whilst Charlie Curnow shows no signs of slowing down from back-to-back Colemans with another bag of 4 from 15 disposals including a goal assist.

Skipper and 2022 Brownlow Medallist-Patrick Cripps was the pick of the midfielders, with team high- 28 disposals, 9 clearances, 15 contested possessions and a goal- a stat line that normally sees Crippa poll well on Brownlow night.

Hayden Young had a career best day through the midfield, leading the way with 32 disposalsas well as 8 clearances, 7 tackles, 661 meters gained and 12 contested possessions in his most complete performance to date.

Skipper-Alex Pearce was a rock in defence, with 8 of his 13 disposals coming from intercept possessions. Peare's defensive work kept the Crows to just 4 goals for the match and notable key forwards Taylor Walker and Darcy Fogarty were kept goalless.

Michael Walters was the spark the Dockers needed in attack to post a winning total. The former All-Australian had 21 disposals, kicked 2 goals, took 8 marks and was involved in an equal game high- 9 scores.

Nic Martin brought his own footy on Saturday, winning an equal club high- 44 disposals and made a team high- 781 meters gained in a sensational individual performance.

Zach Merrett was his typical self, picking up plenty of the ball and setting up play from clearances. The Bombers skipper had 30 disposals and a game high- 14 contested possessions and 7 clearances with 6 from the centre.

Former number 1 pick- Andrew McGrath was crucial to the Bombers victory, and stuffed the stat sheet with 30 disposals, 8 marks, 8 inside 50s (game high), 13 intercept possessions (game high) and goal.

Skipper Max Gawn was superior in the ruck battle against Ivan Soldo, winning 20 disposals, 50 hitouts, 6 clearances, 14 contested possessions, 8 score involvements and a goal.

Alex Neal- Bullen was classy as a half-forward, collecting 24 disposals with half of them contested, laid 6 tackles, was involved in 7 scores and kicked 2 goals.

Willem Drew was the pick of the Port Adelaide players in a narrow loss, with the midfielder keeping Clayton Oliver quiet and winning 25 disposals of his own, which included 10 clearances, 9 inside 50s, 8 score involvements and also laying 11 tackles.

The Bulldogs put on a clinic against the Eagles, however there weren't as many players that stuffed the stat sheet as were used to seeing. Adam Treloar was the Bulldogs best player with a game high- 35 disposals (the only player to crack the 30 barrier), team high- 8 clearances, 12 contested possessions, 10 score involvements and a goal.

Marcus Bontempelli wasn't his usual prolific self, but still managed to make a major impact on the match with 3 goals from 16 disposals with 11 of these being contested. The Bont impressed in tight with a game high 9 tackles and taking 4 contested marks.

Aaron Naughton was effective with 20 disposals, 13 score involvements (game high), 6 inside 50s, 4 goal assists and a goal of his own.

Nick Vlaustin was everywhere against the Swans, with the experienced defender dominating as the final road block. Vlaustin picked up 29 disposals- with 15 of these being intercept possessions- using the ball at 100% efficiency and taking 13 marks.

Tim Taranto was the best midfielder on the ground against a superstar Swans outfit. Taranto accumulated a game high- 35 disposals, 8 clearances and kicked a goal.

Shai Bolton started strongly with 9 disposals and a goal in the opening term and proved to be one of the match winners with an impressive 25 disposals, 2 goals and a game high 692 meters gained.

Tanner Bruhn stepped up in Patrick Dangerfield's absence to play the best game of his short career, doing the heavy lifting in the midfeld with career and team high disposals (27), clearances (9) and contested possessions (15).

Mitch Duncan impressed with 26 touches, 9 marks, 505 meters gained, 3 goal assists and a goal of his own.

Oliver Henry made an impact up forward with 4 goals and an equal team high- 8 score involvements. Meanwhile, James Worpel was the best of the Hawks in their 6-goal loss, leading all players for disposals (36), inside 50s (9), goal assists (3), score involvements (8) as well as 6 clearances, 14 contested and a goal in a well rounded performances.

ROUND 2 | PREDICTED VOTES

Nasiah Wanganeen- Milera was easily the best player on the ground, with his precision kicking setting up the Saints from the backline. In the best game of his young career, the silky half-back had a game high- 32 disposals and led all Saints for marks (11) and meters gained (613)

Jack Higgins broke the Pies hearts with 4 goals including a ridiculous game-sealer in a tricky spot, 50 meters out and from the boundary- by boundary, I mean row 46. That will have plenty of Pies fans screaming "That was out of bounds!"

Jack Steele was typically tough in the contest, winning 26 disposals (the most of any Saints midfielder), laid a game high- 11 tackles and had 6 clearances.

Rowan Marshall continued his fine form that almost secured himself an All-Australian nod last season, winning 24 disposals, a game high- 11 clearances, 16 contested, 7 inside 50s and 13 hitouts.

In game 150, Tom Stewart played one of his best games of his brilliant career to date. The 5x All-Australian had a team high- 28 disposals and game high- 15 intercept possessions, which included an equal record 10 intercept marks!

Gryan Miers was busy with 26 disposals, a standard 2 goal assists and crucially 3 goals- his first 3 goal haul since mid-2022.

Evergreen forward- Tom Hawkins couldn't be held for long by the young Adelaide defence, booting 4 goals in effective fashion.

Ruck and midfield duo Luke Jackson and Caleb Serong were once again the two best performers in the Fremantle victory.

Luke Jackson is thriving as the number one ruckman, with a statline that resembles peak Max Gawn- 24 disposals, 21 hitouts, 7 clearances, 15 contested, 10 score involvements and 2 goals! At this stage, Jackson looks the All-Australian ruckman, with his follow up craft separating himself from the rest.

Reigning Best and Fairest- Caleb Serong led the Dockers for the key midfield categories with 35 disposals, 8 clearances, 15 contested and 11 score involvements.

The Kangaroos had a crack in the first half before their third quarter blow out, and Tom Powell was impressive throughout with 28 disposals, 8 clearances and 2 goals for the losing side.

Christian Petracca was clearly the best player on the ground, dominating the whole match with a game high- 29 disposals and 4 goal assists, as well as 14 contested, 6 clearances, 8 inside 50s, a goal and a goal saving spoil late in the match.

Bayley Fritsch was the most potent forward with 5 goals from 13 disposals, cashing in with 2 late goals and taking advantage of the Demons frequency inside 50.

Without many standout players, Jack Viney and Max Gawn get the nod for the minor vote as proven vote getters who played solid games. Gawn had 17 disposals, 24 hitouts and 6 inside 50s, whilst Viney led the way with 15 contested possessions, 7 clearances from his 21 disposals.

The Hawks-Demon's match was difficult to allocate votes due to lack of big performances, meanwhile the Swans-Bombers was even harder with a plethora of brilliant individual games.

Isaac Heeney may be the Swans best performers in 3/3 games this season. The former forward played with the same level of electricity in the midfield with 32 disposals, 8 clean clearances, 14 contested, 13 score involvements and a goal.

Tom Papley was threatening to take the game from Essendon all match and had one of his better games with 24 disposals, 10 marks, 11 contested and 4 goals!

Sydney generated an enormous amount of goals from the back half, thanks mostly to the speed and ball use of gun midfielders Chad Warner and Errol Gulden who made it look like a coast to coast training drill. The Chad had 28 disposals, team high- 519 meters gained, game high- 14 score involvements and 2 late goals. Errol cut the Bombers up with 24 disposals, 6 clearances, team high- 6 inside 50s, 4 goal assists and 2 goals.

Zach Merrett was stiff not to poll with 32 disposals and 2 goals, however the 30 point loss will hurt his chances.

Marcus Bontempelli is on the board for this years Brownlow predictor and looks in great form, picking up a game high- 32 disposals, 11 clearances, 19 contested as well as 2 goals and 2 assists. The Bontempelli we're used to seeing that gets the 3 votes from the umpires.

Bont has stiff competition from Cody Weightman who booted 6 goals. 6 is usually enough to secure the 3, however, previous bags from Weightman haven't correlated with big votes from the umpires, with 3 career votes- including bags of 6, 5, 5, 4 and 4.

Tim English impressed in the ruck with a well rounded match, including 15 disposals, 8 tackles, 6 marks, 25 hitouts and a game high 112 Fantasy Points.

Zak Butters picked up where he left off last season, accumulating a game high 34 disposals and making an impact with 7 clearances, 14 contested, 13 score involvements, 3 goal assists and a goal. Proved himself as the number one man in that Power midfield that has gone 2-0.

Todd Marshall was a handful up forward with 4 goals from 13 disposals. Skipper- Connor Rozee was amongst it with 28 disposals- ranked second most on the ground- 8 marks and 11 contested.

Ollie Wines didn't have a stack of the footy with only 26, but was the leader on the ground for clearances (10) and equal leader for contested possessions (14).

Tom Green has done his Brownlow hopes no harm, ranked as one of the Giants best on ground for the third consecutive match. With plenty of hype around the midfield move of Isaac Heeney, Tom Green has gone under the radar in the media. Green had 34 disposals, 8 clearances and game high- 21 contested possessions, 767 meters gained and 11 inside 50s.

Josh Kelly was classy as always with 28 disposals, 7 inside 50s and 2 goals. Ruckman Kieren Briggs was the number one ranked clearance player with 12 from his 21 disposals. He also dominated the ruck battle with 34 hitouts and 5 tackles.

Lachie Whitfield was the most prolific player on the ground with 36 disposals at 80% efficiency and made an impact with 8 score involvements.

ROUND 1 | PREDICTED VOTES

The Blues hold on for another tight victory, with Patrick Cripps leading the way with a game high- 31 disposals, 21 contested possessions, getting involved on both sides of the ball with 8 intercept possessions and 7 score involvements.

Harry McKay booted 3 goals- the most of any Blue- from 13 disposals, taking 6 marks and laying 7 tackles in a well-rounded performance.

Noah Balta was the pick of the Richmond players with 23 disposals, 9 marks, leading all players for meters gained with 613 and kicking 3 goals.

Isaac Heeney has dominated through the midfield in the first two matches, with 29 disposals, team high- 13 contested possessions, 10 score involvements and 2 goals.

Chad Warner was eye-catching in Nike TNs, kicking 3 goals, having a team high- 7 clearances and winning 27 disposals in a close to best-on-ground performance.

Errol Gulden was the Swans most prolific ball winner with 30 disposals, 2 goal assists, taking 8 marks and making a game high- 650 meters gained.

Archie Perkins had a coming-of-age game with career high numbers of 12 tackles, 8 clearances, 9 score involvements as well as 24 disposals and 2 goals.

Jake Stringer turned his strong preseason form into a strong Round 1 with 4 goals from 11 disposals.

Andrew McGrath was prolific throughout the match with a game high- 33 disposals and 619 meters gained.

Zach Merrett dominated through the midfield with 31 disposals, 8 marks and 6 clearances.

Tom Green's Brownlow stocks are improving at a rate of knots, with the Giants off to a flying start and Green dominating as their number 1 midfielder. Green had a game high- 37 disposals, 16 contested and 14 score involvements as well as a goal.

Jesse Hogan cashed in on the Kangaroos poor defence with 6 goals and 3 goal assists from 18 disposals.

Lachie Whitfield picked up 29 disposals, 10 score involvements and took 8 marks in a commanding display.

Even at age 33, Patrick Dangerfield is still the Cats number 1 midfielder! The 2016 Brownlow Medallist led all Geelong players for disposals (25), clearances (8), contested possessions (12) and inside 50s (9) as well as kicking a goal.

Young prodigy Max Holmes was important to the Cats win with 23 disposals, 10 marks and a game high- 686 meters gained.

Jeremy Cameron started the season strongly, using his running power to accumulate 21 disposals, take 7 marks and kick 2 goals, 3 behinds including a brilliant individual goal from the boundary that would have captured the umpire's attention.

5x All Australian Tom Stewart was a rock down back with 22 disposals at 86% efficiency and picking up 8 intercept possessions.

It's going to be tough to split the Gold Coast main three midfielders on Brownlow night.

Matt Rowell followed on from his dominant opening round performance, with 29 disposals, 10 tackles, 9 clearances, game high- 20 contested possessions and a goal.

Skipper-Touk Miller looked in fine form with 29 disposals, 19 contested and a game high- 10 clearances.

Noah Anderson had the equal most disposals with 35 with a game high- 8 inside 50s, 781 meters gained and booted a goal.

It was back to the Melbourne of old, with their A-Grade midfield trio all dominating and likely to be in the votes.

Skipper Max Gawn had reigning All-Australian- Tim English's number, with a strong stat line that read 26 disposals, 35 hitouts, 8 clearances and 9 marks in a best on ground display.

Christian Petracca was damaging in the front half with his 29 disposals, being involved in 13 scores which included 3 direct goal assists and a goal of his own.

Clayton Oliver was at his prolific best, leading all players with 35 disposals (with an impressive 21 kicks), 7 inside 50s and 6 clearances through the midfield..

Connor Rozee started his captaincy with a bang, winning by 50 points and being the best player on the ground with 27 disposals, 6 inside 50s, 6 clearances, 14 score involvements- all team highs- as well as 2 goals!

Breakout star- Zak Butters picked up where he left off last season with 27 disposals, 8 marks, 11 score involvements and a goal. Rozee and Butters were the two clear best ons.

Spearhead Charlie Dixon impressed up front with a team high- 3 goals in the Powers thrashing over West Coast.

Caleb Serong had the individual performance of the round with 46 disposals, 21 contested possessions and 10 clearances in the Dockers upset over last season's Grand Finalist Brisbane. If Fremantle can continue winning and are a top-8 chance, Serong will be taking majority of the Brownlow votes this season.

Luke Jackson impressed with his ruck-forward craft, involved through the middle with 18 disposals and 30 hitouts as well as contributing with 2 goals.

Luke Ryan was the distributor down back, making a game high- 817 meters gained from his 33 disposals and taking 10 marks.

Andrew Brayshaw was Serong's support act through the middle with 32 disposals, 8 marks, 6 clearances and 2 goal assists.

ROUND 0 | PREDICTED VOTES

Brodie Grundy's debut in the red and white couldn't have gone any better, coming out victorious against his old skipper- Max Gawn. Dominating around the ground, Grundy finished with 23 disposals, 9 clearances and 33 hitouts in a close to best on ground performance. Nice of Melbourne and Collingwood to pay some of his wage!

A positional move that has been on the cards for years, Isaac Heeney was unleashed as a full-time midfielder with brilliant results. The typically high-flying forward was the best midfielder for the Swans, winning a game high- 13 clearances and 18 contested possessions in greasy conditions. The move up the ground didn't hinder his forward half impact, with 12 of his 26 disposals being score involvements including kicking a goal.

Chad Warner was quiet early, but was almost the difference in the final term- with 11 disposals and an important goal. Finished with a solid 26 disposals and game high- 12 inside 50s.

Melbourne tough nut- Jack Viney kept the Demons in the match with 30 disposals, 14 contested, 7 clearances and 2 goals.

In what will be one of the best games of the season, it will be difficult to determine who gets the nod from the umpires with low disposal numbers across the board. Charlie Curnow was crucial to inspiring the Blues after their 46-point deficit to eventually winning by a point. The back-to-back Coleman Medallist booted a game high 4 goals during Carlton's comeback.

Adam Cerra and George Hewett were impacting through the midfield, with Hewett leading all players for disposals with 27 and Cerra leading his teammates for contested possessions (14) and clearances (7).

Harry McKay was clunking them well, with 4 of his 7 marks being contested. The much maligned forward kicked 3 goals including the match winning goal, as well as leading all Blues for score involvements with 8.

Matt Rowell was tough and contested from start to finish as the Suns registered their first win under Damien Harwick. The former no.1 pick led the match for disposals (33), contested possessions (26) and a herculean 20 clearances- the second player to win 20+ clearances since the stat was counted!

Ben King was effective in front of the sticks, with 5 of his 10 disposals finishing as goals.

Noah Anderson and Touk Miller was important on-the-ball and will be strong chances for the minor votes. Anderson picked up where he left off with 25 disposals, 13 contested and 8 clearances whilst Miller finished with 28 disposals (second most behind Rowell) and 8 score involvements.

Forward line pairing Jesse Hogan and Callum Brown stretched out the Collingwood defence, with the duo booting 9 of the Giants 18 goals.

Callum Brown had his best career game to date, kicking a game high- 5 goals. Meanwhile, Jesse Hogan kicked 4 goals and did plenty of work marking the ball up the ground- taking 7 marks and involved in 9 scores (equal second most on the ground).

Tom Green lived up to the preseason hype as a potential Brownlow front runner, winning 30 disposals, 11 contested (equal team high), 9 clearances (team high), 9 score involvements and a goal.

The orange tsunami lives on, with Josh Kelly, Lachie Whitfield and Stephen Conilglio all playing big games and stiff not to be included.

No fears for any Nick Daicos backers, with the preseason Brownlow favourite still going about his business as one of the best players in the league- 34 touches, 16 contested, 10 clearances and a goal, if the Pies win its another 3 votes for the young star.

2024 BROWNLOW MEDAL EARLY BETTING STRATEGIES

Nick Daicos is the short-priced favourite and for good reason, with the second-year sensation polling an incredible 28 votes at 1.4 votes per game- the most of any player last season. Hot favourites mean the odds blow out for some serious Brownlow contenders- with proven vote getters such as Marcus Bontempelli (12.00), Christian Petracca (15.00) and Patrick Cripps (21.00), all paying much more than they were prior to the Brownlow Medal last season.

It's been well documented that the Brownlow Medal is a midfielder's award, but the umpires don't just look at the ability to rack up disposals. 11 of the last 12 Brownlow Medallist finished the season in the top-10 for average contested possessions and clearances! Backing a player that fits this bill would be wise decision.

Betting Strategy

 BACK: Marcus Bontempelli for Brownlow Medal at $12.00

Marcus Bontempelli fits this bill as the prototype modern midfielder- ranking 5th for clearances, 4th for contested possessions and kicking 19 goals last season. The two-time Runner-Up in the Brownlow is paying a huge price of 12.00 when you consider he was paying $3-$4 prior to last year's count!

Eight of the last nine winners had polled 20+ votes before their victory- proving a strong history is crucial to winning the Brownlow count. Melbourne bull- Christian Petracca is an umpire's favourite, finishing in the top-10 and polling 20+ votes in all of the last 4 seasons- the only current player to achieve this feat!

Petracca is as consistent as any player in the AFL- averaging 28 disposals and over a goal a game in the last three years. You can have faith that Petracca will be there or thereabouts as a reliable top tier player once again.

Chad Warner is a great pick to back-to-lay- paying a huge 51.00 this preseason. Despite having a slightly poorer 2023 than his breakout 2022 campaign, the Chad received a boost in Brownlow votes- going from 12 to 16- potentially off the back of the media attention received during last off season.

With opposition attention likely going to All-Australian- Errol Gulden and elite ruckman- Brodie Grundy tapping down in the centre, Warner could easily find himself in the top-10 of the Brownlow meaning his odds will shorten significantly from the current rough price.

Lachie Neale has been a popular player in the eyes of the umps since his move to the Lions- placing on the podium in four of the last five seasons and picking up two Brownlow Medals! However, no player has won back-to-back Brownlow Medals since Robert Harvey in 1998.

Based on the statistics, last seasons polling was an anomaly for Neale, receiving votes in three matches when he recorded 23 or less disposals- a feat he only achieved once in his previous 200 matches (and that match included 22 disposals and 4 goals). Seems as if the umpires were trying to make up for his robbed 2022 Brownlow! The umpires may overcompensate this season, seeing Neale receive less votes than he deserves.

BETFAIR'S BROWNLOW MEDAL TIPS AND PREDICTIONS

The Brownlow Medal is the AFL's most prestigious individual prize. The medal, known formally as the Charles Brownlow Trophy, was first presented in 1924, in honour of the former Geelong player and club and league administrator. The Brownlow medallist is recognised as the League's fairest and best player, as judged by the umpires.

In recent years, the Brownlow Medal count has attracted significant interest as a major event on footy's social calendar, while also continuing to draw massive patronage from bettors. With wagering interest in the Brownlow skyrocketing, punters are increasingly looking for accurate and updated information and insights to help shape their Brownlow tipping strategies.

Betfair's unique Brownlow Medal predictor provides expert analysis for each of the 207 AFL home-and-away matches played during the 2024 season including a list of players it predicts will likely have earned the umpires' votes.

Under the current Brownlow Medal voting system, the three field umpires confer after each game and award six votes to the three players considered the fairest and best, on a 3-2-1 basis. However, under the innovative system that underpins Betfair's AFL Brownlow predictor, more than three players per match can be identified as predicted vote-winners, 'earning' a minimum of 0.5 votes and a maximum of 3 from a six-tier voting scale. Betfair's data scientists and betting analysts believe this broader vote allocation system better captures more players' valuable or outstanding performances while simultaneously lessening the impact of the narrow 3-2-1 system than can, by its nature, ignore impactful players who might not necessarily have caught the umpires' attention, particularly in games dominated by one or two individuals.

After each round, a leaderboard showing how many votes Betfair's Brownlow predictor tips players to receive is updated, with individual Brownlow Medal market odds on the Betfair Exchange adjusted accordingly. This 'live' feature enables punters to stay updated with predicted player movement up and down the leaderboard, providing them with ample opportunity to adjust their Brownlow wagering strategies throughout the course of the AFL season.

Under contemporary Brownlow rules, multiple winners are declared when two or more players finish with the same number of votes. In 2003, for example, Adelaide's Mark Ricciuto, Collingwood's Nathan Buckley and Sydney's Adam Goodes each polled 22 votes and were declared Brownlow medallists. This element of the award broadens punters' options and allows for more intricate wagering strategies, particularly when using Betfair's AFL Brownlow predictor as a guide. It's also worth noting that although players who have been suspended for on-field indiscretions during a season can still receive votes for their performances, they are ineligible to win that year's Brownlow Medal.

Importantly, as part of Betfair's approach of putting bettors first by giving them multiple options to capitalise on their investments, punters can choose to back or lay any player as part of their Brownlow wagering considerations.

As Australia's largest betting exchange, Betfair continues to broaden its wagering options and expand the cutting-edge information, expert analysis and data it offers punters who are keen to extract maximum value when investing. To take advantage of tools including the innovative Brownlow Medal predictor, sign up to Betfair today and start realising the benefits.