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Betfair Hub: Expert Tips - NFL

3 minute read

Stats Insider are providing NFL Tips throughout the season. Check out the NFL markets on the Betfair Exchange.

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Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Match Odds) Los Angeles Chargers (Rated at $1.88) We predict the Los Angeles Chargers have a 53.29% win probability, so look for a price at $1.88 or better to find value
BACK: (Total Points) Over 48.0 (Rated at $2.00) According to our model, there's a 50.00% chance the total points will go Over 48.0, so a fair price here would be $2.00 or better
BACK: (Handicap) Atlanta Falcons +1.5 (Rated at $1.93) Our model gives the Atlanta Falcons a 51.72% chance to cover the +1.5 spread, so look for a price at $1.93 or better to find value

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Match Odds) Cincinnati Bengals (Rated at $1.66) We predict the Cincinnati Bengals have a 60.40% win probability, so look for a price at $1.66 or better to find value
BACK: (Total Points) Over 47.0 (Rated at $1.91) According to our model, there's a 52.42% chance the total points will go Over 47.0, so a fair price here would be $1.91 or better
BACK: (Handicap) Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 (Rated at $1.77) Our model gives the Cincinnati Bengals a 56.46% chance to cover the -2.5 spread, so look for a price at $1.77 or better to find value

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Match Odds) Houston Texans (Rated at $1.57) We predict the Houston Texans have a 63.85% win probability, so look for a price at $1.57 or better to find value
BACK: (Total Points) Under 44.5 (Rated at $1.93) According to our model, there's a 51.81% chance the total points will go Under 44.5, so a fair price here would be $1.93 or better
BACK: (Handicap) Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 (Rated at $2.00) Our model gives the Jacksonville Jaguars a 50.00% chance to cover the +3.5 spread, so look for a price at $2.00 or better to find value

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Match Odds) Arizona Cardinals (Rated at $2.51) We predict the Arizona Cardinals have a 39.84% win probability, so look for a price at $2.51 or better to find value
BACK: (Total Points) Over 44.5 (Rated at $1.93) According to our model, there's a 51.81% chance the total points will go Over 44.5, so a fair price here would be $1.93 or better
BACK: (Handicap) Arizona Cardinals +3.5 (Rated at $1.77) Our model gives the Arizona Cardinals a 56.46% chance to cover the +3.5 spread, so look for a price at $1.77 or better to find value

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Match Odds) Indianapolis Colts (Rated at $1.70) We predict the Indianapolis Colts have a 58.74% win probability, so look for a price at $1.70 or better to find value
BACK: (Total Points) Under 42.5 (Rated at $2.00) According to our model, there's a 50.00% chance the total points will go Under 42.5, so a fair price here would be $2.00 or better
BACK: (Handicap) New England Patriots +2.5 (Rated at $2.00) Our model gives the New England Patriots a 50.00% chance to cover the +2.5 spread, so look for a price at $2.00 or better to find value

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Match Odds) Seattle Seahawks (Rated at $1.87) We predict the Seattle Seahawks have a 53.61% win probability, so look for a price at $1.87 or better to find value
BACK: (Total Points) Under 42.0 (Rated at $1.93) According to our model, there's a 51.74% chance the total points will go Under 42.0, so a fair price here would be $1.93 or better
BACK: (Handicap) Seattle Seahawks -1.0 (Rated at $2.00) Our model gives the Seattle Seahawks a 50.00% chance to cover the -1.0 spread, so look for a price at $2.00 or better to find value

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Match Odds) Washington Commanders (Rated at $1.40) We predict the Washington Commanders have a 71.57% win probability, so look for a price at $1.40 or better to find value
BACK: (Total Points) Over 44.5 (Rated at $1.83) According to our model, there's a 54.62% chance the total points will go Over 44.5, so a fair price here would be $1.83 or better
BACK: (Handicap) Washington Commanders -6.0 (Rated at $2.00) Our model gives the Washington Commanders a 50.00% chance to cover the -6.0 spread, so look for a price at $2.00 or better to find value

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Match Odds) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Rated at $1.40) We predict the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 71.31% win probability, so look for a price at $1.40 or better to find value
BACK: (Total Points) Under 46.5 (Rated at $2.00) According to our model, there's a 50.00% chance the total points will go Under 46.5, so a fair price here would be $2.00 or better
BACK: (Handicap) Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 (Rated at $1.90) Our model gives the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 52.74% chance to cover the -5.5 spread, so look for a price at $1.90 or better to find value

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Match Odds) New Orleans Saints (Rated at $2.35) We predict the New Orleans Saints have a 42.56% win probability, so look for a price at $2.35 or better to find value
BACK: (Total Points) Over 49.5 (Rated at $2.00) According to our model, there's a 50.00% chance the total points will go Over 49.5, so a fair price here would be $2.00 or better
BACK: (Handicap) New Orleans Saints +2.5 (Rated at $2.00) Our model gives the New Orleans Saints a 50.00% chance to cover the +2.5 spread, so look for a price at $2.00 or better to find value

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Match Odds) Baltimore Ravens (Rated at $1.69) We predict the Baltimore Ravens have a 59.05% win probability, so look for a price at $1.69 or better to find value
BACK: (Total Points) Under 51.0 (Rated at $1.96) According to our model, there's a 51.10% chance the total points will go Under 51.0, so a fair price here would be $1.96 or better
BACK: (Handicap) Philadelphia Eagles +2.5 (Rated at $2.00) Our model gives the Philadelphia Eagles a 50.00% chance to cover the +2.5 spread, so look for a price at $2.00 or better to find value

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