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Cranbourne Form Guide (Race 6) | Enhanced Form

Saturday, 23rd November 2024

6
15:10
(local)

John Duff & Co The Lester

WT: 54.0kg Type: BM84 Fastest Time: 2:05.71 Son Of Solly 14 Apr 2023 3yo+ BM64 SOT:G
AUD $130,000
2025m TURF GOOD 4
6
15:10
(local)
AUD $130,000
2025m GOOD 4

John Duff & Co The Lester

WT: 54.0kg Type: BM84 Fastest Time: 2:05.71 Son Of Solly 14 Apr 2023 3yo+ BM64 SOT:G
Tab FORM Horse WT BP Tot $PM Car$/St Jockey Joc L50 Joc PM JRat Trainer Tra L50 Tra PM TRat EST LSR 50D BL3 12m Car RT GF RT D RT SH 12M AW 50D AW NR HCP PR BP 12TB 12TM 12TT3 100TB 12AWB 12AWM 12AWT3 100AWM WT TS + | - BP TS BP LS DIST LS + | - CLS LS LS Fav
TS Jockey
TS Rating
TS J/H
LS Jockey
LS Rat
LS J/H
Trainer
Rating
Location TC Joc/Hor Career 12 Month Course C&D Dist Firm Good Soft Heavy Group 1 Joc L50 Joc L350 Tra L50 Tra L350 Sire L50 Sire L350 Hor & Crs Joc & Crs Tra & Crs PP
1 x4555 INDEPENDENT ROAD 61.5 11 $808.4k $16.5k RYAN HOUSTON (a3) $166.2k $1,376.5k 1.9 BEN, WILL & JD HAYES $2,097.5k $7,460.0k H 3.8 44.0 44.0 44.0 44.0 47.0 47.0 47.0 0.0 44.0 0.0 0 12 2 10 125.2 127.0 125.5 133.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 61.5 2.5 11 1 1800m 225m BM90 - Flemington N $15.1
2 526x0 ALDER 60.0 9 $131.4k $14.6k LUKE CURRIE $414.3k $4,033.6k H 2.7 TRENT BUSUTTIN & NATALIE YOUNG $332.4k $2,900.9k 3.0 42.0 41.5 41.5 42.0 43.0 44.5 44.5 0.0 44.5 0.0 0 4 1 10 124.0 126.8 126.8 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 60.0 2.0 9 8 1800m 225m BM90 -
H 2.7
Cranbourne N $26.2
3 43x08 BEHTAR 59.5 14 $124.3k $8.3k JAMIE MOTT $225.1k $2,416.6k H 4.3 PETER SNOWDEN $881.7k $5,376.8k H 2.7 39.5 41.5 41.5 43.0 41.5 46.5 44.5 0.0 38.5 0.0 0 3 1 9 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 59.5 2.5 14 3 1800m 225m BM90 -
H 4.3
Flemington N $34.3
4 12x13 NATION'S CALL 58.5 5 $158.4k $12.2k BLAKE SHINN $1,534.7k $7,957.5k H 4.9 R GRIFFITHS & M DE KOCK $468.7k $2,129.8k 3.3 49.5 48.5 48.5 48.5 48.5 48.5 48.5 0.0 45.5 0.0 0 24 45 12 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 58.5 0.0 5 2 1600m 425m BM84 -
H 4.9
Cranbourne N $3.8
5 19243 MATHEW 58.0 12 $180.9k $12.1k TOM PREBBLE (a3) $171.4k $1,202.5k H 3.6 PATRICK & MICHELLE PAYNE $249.9k $322.6k 2.0 45.0 42.0 44.0 47.5 47.5 47.5 47.5 0.0 47.0 0.0 0 9 20 8 123.6 126.8 126.8 123.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 58.0 4.0 12 3 2006m 19m OPEN -
H 3.6
Plumpton N $12.1
6 35866 FLASH FEELING 57.0 4 $490.2k $14.9k MICHAEL DEE $696.4k $5,998.8k H 4.3 BEN, WILL & JD HAYES $2,097.5k $7,460.0k H 3.8 47.5 42.5 47.5 47.5 48.5 49.0 49.0 0.0 48.0 0.0 0 16 3 13 125.4 125.6 125.5 125.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 57.0 2.5 4 11 1800m 225m BM90 -
H 4.3
Flemington N $14.1
7 10x32 SAVOIR FAIRE 57.0 6 $135.6k $7.1k DAMIAN LANE $1,782.9k $8,685.8k H 4.6 MARK WALKER $1,316.8k $8,609.8k 4.1 44.0 38.0 44.0 44.0 45.5 49.0 49.0 0.0 46.5 0.0 0 4 2 14 122.8 125.4 124.6 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 57.0 3.0 6 6 1620m 405m OPEN -
H 4.6
Cranbourne N $11.1
8 219x0 THORIN 57.0 2 $212.3k $7.9k CRAIG NEWITT $104.0k $1,581.8k 2.2 JULIUS SANDHU $244.5k $1,717.2k 2.8 37.0 35.5 35.5 47.0 35.5 53.0 52.5 0.0 53.0 0.0 0 1 1 14 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 57.0 -2.5 2 7 1700m 325m BM74 - Cranbourne N $51.4
9 7x036 CEERSEVEN 56.0 3 $223.8k $14.0k JYE MCNEIL $1,695.9k $4,870.7k H 2.5 MITCHELL FREEDMAN $1,509.4k $4,286.8k 2.5 47.5 42.0 46.0 46.0 47.5 47.5 47.5 0.0 47.5 0.0 0 9 3 11 123.0 123.0 123.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 56.0 -0.5 3 6 1600m 425m BM84 -
H 2.5
Ballarat N $15.1
10 5x133 AMBASSADORIAL 55.0 10 $183.8k $16.7k BEAU MERTENS $458.0k $3,169.9k 4.1 G WATERHOUSE & A BOTT $1,537.4k $9,985.0k H 4.2 48.0 47.5 48.0 48.0 49.5 49.5 49.5 0.0 44.0 0.0 0 12 31 9 124.2 124.2 124.2 124.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 55.0 -2.5 10 5 2000m 25m BM78 Beaten Flemington N $4.5
11 x1537 COMMANDO DRIFT 55.0 1 $230.8k $8.0k CELINE GAUDRAY (a1.5) $586.6k $2,458.6k 3.0 THOMAS SADLER $242.2k $337.1k 3.0 48.0 47.5 47.5 47.5 47.5 47.5 47.5 0.0 43.0 0.0 0 9 22 13 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 55.0 2.0 1 14 2400m -375m Qlty - Geelong N $13.1
12 21x75 DUKE OF CONDICOTE 55.0 7 $59.6k $3.7k SAFFIE OSBORNE $146.1k $1,830.5k 3.3 CIARON MAHER $1,651.4k $28,179.3k H 4.5 45.5 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 0.0 42.5 0.0 0 4 3 13 124.8 124.8 124.8 124.8 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 55.0 -4.0 7 16 2000m 25m BM80 - Ballarat N $10.1
13 0x968 INTERLINKED 54.0 13 $120.9k $12.1k DANIEL MOOR $323.3k $1,792.9k 1.8 TRENT BUSUTTIN & NATALIE YOUNG $332.4k $2,900.9k 3.0 43.5 44.5 44.5 44.5 51.5 51.5 51.5 0.0 41.0 0.0 0 9 10 7 125.1 125.8 125.6 125.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 54.0 -5.5 13 1 2040m -15m BM70 - Cranbourne N $34.3
14 7x992 AKROTIRI 54.0 8 $152.3k $12.7k DANIEL STACKHOUSE $364.2k $3,152.8k 4.0 CINDY ALDERSON $264.1k $2,497.2k 2.2 47.0 46.5 46.5 46.5 46.5 46.5 45.0 0.0 46.5 0.0 0 4 4 10 124.7 125.8 126.4 128.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 54.0 -5.5 8 6 2050m -25m BM70 - Cranbourne N $21.2

Fields

Tab TAB Number of horse
Horse Name of each runner
WT Runner's weight
BP Barrier Position at Acceptance
Jockey Nominated rider where known (apprentice allowance shown in brackets where applicable)
JRat Racing and Sports unique jockey rating. The range is 0 - 5 with 2.5 being an average value and 5 being the highest. The rating is calculated from each riders statistics and includes overall strike rate plus distance, course, Metropolitan, Provincial or Country performance and favourites strike rate. A H after a rating means the jockey is riding hot at a rate exceeding his 12 month bench mark.
TRat Racing and Sports unique trainer rating. The range is 0 - 5 with 2.5 being an average value and 5 being the highest. The rating is calculated from each trainers statistics and includes overall strike rate plus distance, course, Metropolitan, Provincial or Country performances and favourites strike rate. A H after a rating means the trainer is performing hot at a rate exceeding his 12 month bench mark.
PP Pre Post Market

Rating

Form Form Figures for each horse
Est Computer generated Predictive Final Rating based along the lines of Don Scott methods.
LSR Last Start Rating
50d Last 50 days rating.
BL3 Best of last 3 ratings.
12m Twelve Month High Rating (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
Career Career Best Rating
RT GF Best Rating on good to fast ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT G Best Rating on good ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT D Best Rating on dead ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT SH Best Rating on slow to heavy ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
12m AW Last 12 months all weather best rating
50d AW Last 50 days all weather best rating
PP Pre Post Market
p Provisional ratings

INTERACTIVE FORM

Racing And Sports has two quality interactive form systems which you as the user can adjust to your own specific tastes and thoughts. We've detailed below how to use both the Neurals and Worksheet areas of a race guide.

Neurals

These are computer enhanced analyses of all the areas which go into making up a race field. They factor in algorithms for every contingency as explained below and added them up to generate the likely best horse in a race.

When you go into them via the Form Guide page you simply run your mouse over any column and you can sort the field by any individual type of Neural Rating which determines the final total (and therefore best rater).

Explanation of Inputs for Neural Analysis

CP Career performance assessment based on weight/class algorithms
CF Current form measured by class/weight algorithms
TIM Revolutionary time assessment (adjusted algorithm)
JA Jockey ability algorithm
TA Trainer ability algorithm
JT Jockey/trainer combination algorithm
WT Wet track performance algorithm
Crs Course suitability algorithm
D Distance suitability algorithm
$ Prizemoney earned algorithm
BP Barrier position (course & distance) algorithm
DLR Days since last run algorithm
  • The user sets the level of importance from the Preference Scale (1 to 5 or No) for each algorithm and the output weightings are listed within seconds.
  • The Neural factor analysis will quickly identify for you just who are the main chances in each race, the highest to the lowest based on the factor weightings

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

Explanation of Times

12TB 12 month turf best rating
12TM 12 month turf median rating
12TT3 12 month turf top 3 average rating
100TB
12AWB 12 month all weather best rating
12AWM 12 month all weather median rating
12AWT3 12 month all weather top 3 average rating
100AWM 12 month all weather median rating

Explanation of Switches

WT TS Weight this start
+|- Difference from last start (Weight)
BP TS Barrier position this start
LS Last start barrier position
DIST LS Difference from last start (Distance)
CLS LS Class last start
Rating for jockey this start compared to last
TS Jockey This Start Jockey
TS Rating This Start Rating.
TS J/H This Start Jockey and Horse together total wins, places and starts.
LS Jockey Last Start Jockey
LS Rating Last Start Rating.
TS J/H Last Start Jockey and Horse together total wins, places and starts.
PP Pre Post.

Information displayed is the trainer, training location and distance (approximate) the trainer had to travel to this track.

Explanation of Prize Money

Tot $PM Total prize money earned
Car$/ST Prize money earned per start
Joc L50 Total prize money won last 50 rides
Joc PM Total prize money won last 350 rides
Tra L50 Total prize money won last 50 runners
Tra PM Total prize money won last 350 runners

Course and distance record, horse jockey combination

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Horse stats on distance and track condition.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Statistics shown are for the Jockey, Trainer and Sire for their last 50 rides/starts and last 350 rides starts. Use the button above to toggle between runs/starts and win/pace percentages.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Statistics shown are for the jockey for the Horse, Jockey, Trainer at this particular course. Use the button above to toggle between runs/starts and win/pace percentages.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Explanation of detailed forms

Raced Distance Displays the distances the horse has raced over
CarPM Career Prizemoney
12mPM Prizemoney earnt in the last 12 months
API $1000 of dollars won per start
RTC/km Runs this campaign and total KM's traveled in those starts (FU-First Up)
RunsDistTC Runs at the distance this campaign
DLS Days since last start
DLW Days since last win (number of starts since last win)
Car Career stats
12m 12 months stats
Crs Course Stats
Dist Stats for this race distance
Fast Fast Track Stats
Good Good Track Stats
Soft Soft Track Stats
Heavy Heavy Track Stats
AW/Turf All Weather (all types) of Stats
G1 Group 1 Stats
G2 Group 2 Stats
G3 Group 3 Stats
LR Listed Races Stats
FU First Up Stats
2U 2nd Up Stats
3U 3rd Up Stats
ClockW Stats when racing Clockwise
AClockW Stats when racing Anti-Clockwise
DOD Degree of Difficulty from last start to this start
KGR racing & Sports Kilogram Ratings, a numerical figure used to express the merit of the run
[o] Ongoing Winners - A list of horses who have race from this race in the following 30 days of the race and the Wins/Places and Starts they have records. Click on the [o] to see these runs.

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