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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 1) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 13th November 2024

1
18:40
(local)

NGAU CHI WAN HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 2:14.42 Bright Kid 30 Nov 2022 RST60-35 SOT:GF
HKD $875,000
2200m TURF GOOD
1
18:40
(local)
HKD $875,000
2200m GOOD

NGAU CHI WAN HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 2:14.42 Bright Kid 30 Nov 2022 RST60-35 SOT:GF

#3 Chateau Le Peche has been knocking on the door for a win since dropping into Class 5 three starts ago. He previously performed well over this distance in Class 4, which places him in strong contention to break through for his first win. #2 Super Hong Kong returns to Class 5 for the first time since joining Dennis Yip’s yard and benefits from a jockey upgrade with Hugh Bowman in the saddle. He is the 2200m distance specialist in this field. #1 Palace Pal is back in Class 5, where he has one win from two attempts, and reunites with Zac Purton, who knows him well. #8 Golden Fairy steps up to a more suitable distance fifth-up, and he should be able to put his best foot forward.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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