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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 8) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 20th November 2024

8
22:15
(local)

CHEK LAP KOK HANDICAP

WT: 51.5kg Type: RST100-80 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $2,840,000
1200m TURF
8
22:15
(local)
HKD $2,840,000
1200m

CHEK LAP KOK HANDICAP

WT: 51.5kg Type: RST100-80 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#7 Raging Blizzard resumed with a very promising third-place finish behind Copartner Prance. He peaked on his run around the 50m mark, indicating there’s plenty of improvement to come as he progresses this preparation. #6 Gorgeous Win was backed into favouritism in that race but endured a luckless run, racing very wide without cover throughout. Despite this, he was only beaten just under four lengths, a commendable effort. #4 Lucky Encounter possesses early speed to secure a handy position from barrier 2, and his last-start second to Copartner Prance suggests he’s poised to return to winning ways. #1 Son Pak Fu showed encouraging improvement in a recent trial and will relish a fast-run race, which appears likely here. Look for him to be charging home late.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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