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Happy-Valley Races | Worksheets

Wednesday, 20th November 2024

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1
18:40
(local)

LAU FAU SHAN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $875,000
1650m TURF
1
18:40
(local)
HKD $875,000
1650m

LAU FAU SHAN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#5 Falcon Court has been unlucky in recent runs since dropping into Class 5, though his performances have shown merit. With Zac Purton taking the reins this week, he gains a key jockey switch that boosts his chances. #10 Medic Elite benefits from barrier 2 and is always competitive over this course and distance. #9 Cool Blue has to overcome an outside gate, but his recent efforts since joining Cody Mo’s yard have been promising. #7 Invincible Missile returns to his preferred track after two outings at Sha Tin and is capable of showing improvement.


2
19:10
(local)

YUEN LONG HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
1650m TURF
2
19:10
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1650m

YUEN LONG HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#4 Apolar Fighter should enjoy a much kinder run stepping away from barrier 2 this week after racing wide without cover last time, where he was unable to pose a threat. #10 Ninja Derby gets a notable jockey upgrade with Zac Purton aboard. His last-start fourth carried merit, considering he raced wide and without cover until the 800m, was allowed to stride forward, and raced outside the lead before fading late due to the early work. #1 Harmony Galaxy produced his best performance to date when runner-up to Capital Legend last start and looks set to continue improving. #2 Sturdy Ruby faces a tougher task after stepping out from barrier 1 to 10 following his breakthrough win in fine style last time.


3
19:40
(local)

KAI TAK HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $875,000
1200m TURF
3
19:40
(local)
HKD $875,000
1200m

KAI TAK HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#2 Ruby Sailing remains winless after 15 starts, but he benefits this week from a class drop into Class 5. Zac Purton takes the reins, and from a good gate, he should improve second-up after a decent effort when well-backed first-up at the bottom of Class 4. #5 Verbier has been knocking on the door for a win, and his trial between runs indicates he has maintained his condition. With Hugh Bowman aboard, his chances are strong. #1 Cosmo Navigator signalled readiness to win after a narrow third-place finish last time. #3 Winning Heart will map well from barrier 2, such as his first effort in Class 5, where he gamely finished third last start.


4
20:10
(local)

KWU TUNG HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
1650m TURF
4
20:10
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1650m

KWU TUNG HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#12 Gluck Racer is more than capable on his day, and he shapes as a good each-way chance here, being third-up and well-drawn in barrier 1. If he can capitalise on his inside gate, he should be within striking range in what is a wide-open contest. #4 Can’t Go Wong appeals with his consistency, although he doesn’t win often. #5 Foremost Teddy endured a tough run from a wide gate last time, covering extra ground early. With a slightly better draw, he can improve on that effort. #11 Courier Magic has been finishing strongly in recent starts despite wide draws, and an inside gate this time should help his chances further.


5
20:40
(local)

THE HK INSTITUTE OF SURVEYORS 40TH ANNIVERSARY CUP (HANDICAP)

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
1200m TURF
5
20:40
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1200m

THE HK INSTITUTE OF SURVEYORS 40TH ANNIVERSARY CUP (HANDICAP)

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#2 Storming Dragon was narrowly denied victory last start and is poised to break through for a well-overdue win, especially with James McDonald aboard and a favourable midfield draw. #1 Triumphant More impressed on debut with a smart win and should continue to progress. Barrier 8 poses a challenge, but Zac Purton retains the ride, which boosts confidence. #11 Speed Sword showed improvement on his first run for Mark Newnham last time out, although barrier 12 makes things tricky; expect him to be charging home late. #9 Lucky Man is gradually improving and looked sharp in a trial between runs. Despite a wide draw, he could be dangerous late if the race sets up with a strong pace.


6
21:10
(local)

SAN TIN HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
1200m TURF
6
21:10
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1200m

SAN TIN HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#5 Telecom Dragon delivered an excellent first-up effort to finish a close third. He should be in the mix again with barrier 3 and Hugh Bowman in the saddle. #1 Motoman faded to 10th last start after leading at a fast tempo, though he was only beaten just over four lengths. With barrier 1 and Zac Purton aboard, he is well placed to finish in the frame. #4 Yee Cheong Spirit ran a strong second last start from barrier 1, but had every chance to win. While barrier 9 makes this tougher, the booking of James McDonald adds confidence. #9 Fun N Glory has been racing well since moving to David Hall’s yard and will relish a fast pace, where he will be making his presence felt late.


7
21:45
(local)

HUNG SHUI KIU HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $2,050,000
1650m TURF
7
21:45
(local)
HKD $2,050,000
1650m

HUNG SHUI KIU HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#12 Super Unicorn deserves another chance after being beaten as the odds-on favourite in his first Class 3 run last time. He shapes as a better betting proposition this week. #9 Soleil Fighter has been edging closer to a win, and his recent second to Daring Pursuit signals he’s ready to go very close here in a wide-open contest. #7 Silo stormed home into second behind Voyage Samurai over a mile at Sha Tin last start, solid form for a race like this, and is primed for a breakthrough. #2 Simply Maverick was on pace in a fast-run race second-up and understandably weakened late. The wide draw is far from ideal, but James McDonald’s guiding him offers some hope.


8
22:15
(local)

CHEK LAP KOK HANDICAP

WT: 51.5kg Type: RST100-80 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $2,840,000
1200m TURF
8
22:15
(local)
HKD $2,840,000
1200m

CHEK LAP KOK HANDICAP

WT: 51.5kg Type: RST100-80 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#7 Raging Blizzard resumed with a very promising third-place finish behind Copartner Prance. He peaked on his run around the 50m mark, indicating there’s plenty of improvement to come as he progresses this preparation. #6 Gorgeous Win was backed into favouritism in that race but endured a luckless run, racing very wide without cover throughout. Despite this, he was only beaten just under four lengths, a commendable effort. #4 Lucky Encounter possesses early speed to secure a handy position from barrier 2, and his last-start second to Copartner Prance suggests he’s poised to return to winning ways. #1 Son Pak Fu showed encouraging improvement in a recent trial and will relish a fast-run race, which appears likely here. Look for him to be charging home late.


9
22:50
(local)

FANLING HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $1,860,000
1200m TURF
9
22:50
(local)
HKD $1,860,000
1200m

FANLING HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#3 Eason turned in an eye-catching first-up performance on his debut for trainer Ricky Yiu, running third after racing very wide without cover. With barrier 2 this time, he maps as the winner. #8 Romantic Son showed plenty of promise on debut, finishing just half a length behind in second. He looks primed to go one better with natural improvement. #2 Young Emperor was ultra-impressive on debut, defeating Romantic Son in style. He shapes as a serious prospect and benefits from a kinder draw in gate 3. #4 Gustosisimo jumped only fairly last start and couldn’t muster early speed but closed well for fourth after being held up on the turn. While he has barrier 10 to overcome, his strong form bodes well.


Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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