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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 7) | Worksheet

Tuesday, 01st October 2024

7
16:05
(local)

THE NATIONAL DAY CUP (HANDICAP) (G3)

WT: 52kg Type: CUP Fastest Time: 0:55.14 Dream Winner 21 May 2023 RST60-40 SOT:G
HKD $4,200,000
1000m TURF
7
16:05
(local)
HKD $4,200,000
1000m

THE NATIONAL DAY CUP (HANDICAP) (G3)

WT: 52kg Type: CUP Fastest Time: 0:55.14 Dream Winner 21 May 2023 RST60-40 SOT:G

#8 Magic Control is an untapped talent, poised to be Cody Mo’s first Group runner. His first-up win, at just his second attempt in Hong Kong at this course and distance, oozed class. His light weight will serve him well as he tackles Group company for the first time in Hong Kong. #1 Invincible Sage resumes under top weight, but that won’t prevent him from making his presence felt in a race like this. #6 Beauty Waves was no match against Ka Ying Rising first-up; the rain-affected track may have been against him, but he ran well into second and is well placed here. #2 Stoltz is a proven performer in races such as this. Though getting on in age, his trials have been more than satisfactory.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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