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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 7) | Worksheet

Sunday, 13th October 2024

7
16:10
(local)

THE SHA TIN TROPHY (HANDICAP) (G2)

WT: 52kg Type: TRPHY Fastest Time: 1:33.04 Beauty Eternal 19 Nov 2023 OPEN SOT:GF
HKD $5,350,000
1600m TURF
7
16:10
(local)
HKD $5,350,000
1600m

THE SHA TIN TROPHY (HANDICAP) (G2)

WT: 52kg Type: TRPHY Fastest Time: 1:33.04 Beauty Eternal 19 Nov 2023 OPEN SOT:GF

#4 Galaxy Patch had an outstanding season last term, culminating in back-to-back G3 Handicap wins. He kicks off this campaign with his sights set on December’s Hong Kong Mile and looks well-positioned to start with a victory. #8 Chancheng Glory benefits from carrying a light weight under handicap conditions, and his tactical speed should see him settle in a handy on-pace position in a race that lacks early speed on paper. #5 Red Lion is another well-placed runner under handicap conditions. While others may still be building fitness for bigger targets later in the season, this is the type of race in which he can figure. #6 Straight Arron makes his first appearance under trainer Ricky Yiu. While he will be looking for more ground, he may be one to spring an upset fresh.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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