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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 1) | Worksheet

Saturday, 09th November 2024

1
13:00
(local)

PANASHOP HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:36.79 True Legend 12 Nov 2022 RST80-60 SOT:G
HKD $875,000
1650m ALL WEATHER
1
13:00
(local)
HKD $875,000
1650m ALL WEATHER

PANASHOP HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:36.79 True Legend 12 Nov 2022 RST80-60 SOT:G

#3 Not A Few turned in an eye-catching fifth first-up in his debut run for the David Eustace stable, also his first attempt in Class 5, despite a slow start. With a sharper start, he looks the one to beat. #1 Fairy Horse backs up from Wednesday night, where he narrowly missed the placings in fourth. While draw 11 isn’t ideal, he’s primed for a breakthrough in this grade. #4 Spangle Fortune has trialled well since his first-up run and should secure an early on-pace position from his low barrier under Britney Wong’s 10lb claim. #5 Colourful Baron impressed with an easy 1800m win last start despite covering extra ground. If he holds that form, he should be competitive again from an inside gate, though consistency can be elusive in Class 5.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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