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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 3) | Enhanced Form

Sunday, 01st December 2024

3
14:00
(local)

CARNARVON HANDICAP

WT: 51kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:07.48 Super Win Dragon 04 Dec 2022 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $875,000
1200m ALL WEATHER GOOD
3
14:00
(local)
HKD $875,000
1200m GOOD

CARNARVON HANDICAP

WT: 51kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:07.48 Super Win Dragon 04 Dec 2022 RST105-80 SOT:G

#5 Vulcanus had excuses last start from barrier 10 and up in trip but wasn’t far off, finishing fifth. Dropping back in distance suits, and from barrier 2, he looks ready to go close to a win, as shown in his prior solid runs. #4 Strive For Glory has three of his four local wins in this class, making him one to follow again on the class drop. However, while barrier 1 looks advantageous, it could work against him if he gets boxed in midfield or worse. #8 High Rise Power ruined his chances with a slow start last time, but his earlier form suggested he was nearing a breakthrough. #3 Sonic Boom will need some luck from barrier 10, though his strong form at this level makes him a solid winning chance.

TabFORMHorseWTBPTot $PMCar$/StJockeyJoc L50Joc PMJRatTrainerTra L50Tra PMTRatESTLSR50DBL312mCarRT GFRT DRT SH12M AW50D AWNRHCPPRBP12TB12TM12TT3100TB12AWB12AWM12AWT3100AWMWT TS+ | -BP TSBP LSDIST LS+ | -CLS LSLS Fav
TS Jockey
TS Rating
TS J/H
LS Jockey
LS Rat
LS J/H
Trainer
Rating
LocationTCJoc/HorCareer12 MonthCourseC&DDistFirmGoodSoftHeavyGroup 1Joc L50Joc L350Tra L50Tra L350Sire L50Sire L350Hor & CrsJoc & CrsTra & Crs
10040xFANCY STAR9-9 | 61.05$13.6k$1.7k JAMES MCDONALD $7,951.0k$26,903.1k H 4.5 CASPAR FOWNES $1,071.5k$9,147.8k H 2.3 14.510.0021.523.023.023.00.00.00.00201172.572.572.500.00.0009-9 | 61.07.0531200m0RST60-40-N
200300FUNG9-9 | 61.06$25.4k$3.6k E C W WONG (3) $775.8k$7,778.5k 1.4 C W CHANG $306.5k$5,792.0k 1.1 14.012.515.023.526.026.026.00.00.00.00221270.671.370.871.60.00.000.09-9 | 61.07.5611200m0RST60-40-N
31x403SONIC BOOM9-9 | 61.010$204.0k$12.8k MATTHEW CHADWICK $1,239.6k$8,105.6k 1.3 W K MO $1,581.6k$7,354.0k H 2.4 20.523.022.522.530.030.030.00.021.030.022.57231070.170.870.40.069.470.269.970.39-9 | 61.08.51091200m0RST60-40-N
42x000STRIVE FOR GLORY9-9 | 61.01$732.2k$12.4k M YEUNG $880.6k$5,763.8k 2.9 W Y SO $1,029.9k$6,591.5k 3.0 9.010.08.511.030.043.043.00.042.030.08.5211170.071.771.70.068.969.969.171.39-9 | 61.08.51101200m0RST60-40-
2.9
2.4
N
582525VULCANUS9-6 | 60.02$85.8k$6.1k VINCENT HO $1,489.3k$10,944.6k H 2.9 Y S TSUI $683.8k$4,484.0k 1.9 27.023.527.527.529.029.029.00.00.026.524.016361269.670.770.369.670.070.270.270.59-6 | 60.03.02101650m-450mRST40-0-
H 2.9
N
64x602GORGEOUS VITALITY9-4 | 59.012$446.5k$14.4k LYLE HEWITSON $990.6k$6,644.9k 1.3 F C LOR $1,763.6k$10,406.4k H 2.4 25.527.527.527.531.542.542.50.038.50.001951069.670.670.069.60.00.000.09-4 | 59.00.51231200m0RST40-0-N
7435x1SPEEDSTAR9-4 | 59.08$383.4k$14.7k HUGH BOWMAN $1,013.7k$14,616.3k H 2.9 DAVID HALL $780.7k$11,217.7k 2.9 24.526.026.027.027.031.031.00.00.00.007341169.869.869.869.80.00.000.09-4 | 59.03.0861200m0RST40-0-N
87x938HIGH RISE POWER9-3 | 58.53$27.0k$2.3k BRENTON AVDULLA $895.5k$9,964.4k 1.4 C H YIP $700.5k$8,193.6k 1.8 22.523.023.027.030.030.026.50.00.030.023.0741270.472.571.80.069.069.969.570.69-3 | 58.5-1.0321200m0RST40-0-N
98x920RATTAN WORLD9-1 | 57.511$195.5k$9.8k A HAMELIN $430.5k$5,912.1k 2.0 JAMIE RICHARDS $697.7k$4,733.7k 1.3 25.519.027.527.531.031.031.00.00.027.527.5165969.570.069.770.770.170.270.270.19-1 | 57.50.51111200m0RST40-0-N
106x719DOUBLE SHOW9-0 | 57.09$445.8k$12.1k ALEXIS POUCHIN $331.7k$3,183.9k 2.6 D WHYTE $492.5k$7,232.3k 1.9 17.018.518.527.029.036.036.00.00.023.50310970.570.770.6070.370.370.309-0 | 57.00.59101000m200mRST40-0-N
1100030EXCELLENT DADDY9-0 | 57.04$463.6k$12.9k LUKE FERRARIS $1,452.9k$6,219.0k H 2.8 T P YUNG $156.6k$5,367.2k 1.9 28.522.028.528.528.540.040.00.032.528.528.51351170.070.470.170.670.170.170.170.19-0 | 57.0-0.5491200m0RST40-0-N
125x046PATCH OF WATCH8-10 | 55.57$15.7k$1.4k BRITNEY WONG (4.5) $782.3k$1,433.1k 2.5 MANFRED MAN $878.7k$6,181.7k H 3.2 26.026.527.527.530.530.526.50.00.030.527.5751070.170.770.770.169.770.270.070.68-10 | 55.5-0.5771200m0RST40-0-N
13x9607NICE BIRDIE9-4 | 59.0-$433.6k$14.5k $0.0k$0.0k - DANNY SHUM $1,949.4k$15,513.2k H 3.3 22.523.023.023.031.534.031.50.00.028.00134000.00000.0009-4 | 59.01.022200m-1000mRST40-0-
-
N
140x630JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP8-13 | 56.5-$93.8k$4.3k $0.0k$0.0k - P F YIU $1,911.0k$10,892.0k 3.1 28.022.027.527.535.045.045.00.039.50.001919070.270.670.470.20.00.000.08-13 | 56.5-0.591200m0RST40-0-
-
N

Fields

TabTAB Number of horse
HorseName of each runner
WTRunner's weight
BPBarrier Position at Acceptance
JockeyNominated rider where known (apprentice allowance shown in brackets where applicable)
JRatRacing and Sports unique jockey rating. The range is 0 - 5 with 2.5 being an average value and 5 being the highest. The rating is calculated from each riders statistics and includes overall strike rate plus distance, course, Metropolitan, Provincial or Country performance and favourites strike rate. A H after a rating means the jockey is riding hot at a rate exceeding his 12 month bench mark.
TRatRacing and Sports unique trainer rating. The range is 0 - 5 with 2.5 being an average value and 5 being the highest. The rating is calculated from each trainers statistics and includes overall strike rate plus distance, course, Metropolitan, Provincial or Country performances and favourites strike rate. A H after a rating means the trainer is performing hot at a rate exceeding his 12 month bench mark.

Rating

FormForm Figures for each horse
EstComputer generated Predictive Final Rating based along the lines of Don Scott methods.
LSRLast Start Rating
50dLast 50 days rating.
BL3Best of last 3 ratings.
12mTwelve Month High Rating (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
CareerCareer Best Rating
RT GFBest Rating on good to fast ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT GBest Rating on good ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT DBest Rating on dead ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
RT SHBest Rating on slow to heavy ground (adjusted for the weight to be carried today and includes any weight for age improvement up until today's run)
12m AWLast 12 months all weather best rating
50d AWLast 50 days all weather best rating
PPPre Post Market
pProvisional ratings

INTERACTIVE FORM

Racing And Sports has two quality interactive form systems which you as the user can adjust to your own specific tastes and thoughts. We've detailed below how to use both the Neurals and Worksheet areas of a race guide.

Neurals

These are computer enhanced analyses of all the areas which go into making up a race field. They factor in algorithms for every contingency as explained below and added them up to generate the likely best horse in a race.

When you go into them via the Form Guide page you simply run your mouse over any column and you can sort the field by any individual type of Neural Rating which determines the final total (and therefore best rater).

Explanation of Inputs for Neural Analysis

CPCareer performance assessment based on weight/class algorithms
CFCurrent form measured by class/weight algorithms
TIMRevolutionary time assessment (adjusted algorithm)
JAJockey ability algorithm
TATrainer ability algorithm
JTJockey/trainer combination algorithm
WTWet track performance algorithm
CrsCourse suitability algorithm
DDistance suitability algorithm
$Prizemoney earned algorithm
BPBarrier position (course & distance) algorithm
DLRDays since last run algorithm
  • The user sets the level of importance from the Preference Scale (1 to 5 or No) for each algorithm and the output weightings are listed within seconds.
  • The Neural factor analysis will quickly identify for you just who are the main chances in each race, the highest to the lowest based on the factor weightings

Explanation of Worksheet

RFSNumber of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLSNumber of days since last run
12MTHTwelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRRRun Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
FormForm bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
CondCondition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
ConsConsistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BPBarrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCKJockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JCApprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FRFinal Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMargTheoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
PerYour Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
DivMarket percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick BoxRemoves horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market PercentageSet your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

Explanation of Times

12TB12 month turf best rating
12TM12 month turf median rating
12TT312 month turf top 3 average rating
100TB
12AWB12 month all weather best rating
12AWM12 month all weather median rating
12AWT312 month all weather top 3 average rating
100AWM12 month all weather median rating

Explanation of Switches

WT TSWeight this start
+|-Difference from last start (Weight)
BP TSBarrier position this start
LSLast start barrier position
DIST LSDifference from last start (Distance)
CLS LSClass last start
Rating for jockey this start compared to last
TS JockeyThis Start Jockey
TS RatingThis Start Rating.
TS J/HThis Start Jockey and Horse together total wins, places and starts.
LS JockeyLast Start Jockey
LS RatingLast Start Rating.
TS J/HLast Start Jockey and Horse together total wins, places and starts.

Information displayed is the trainer, training location and distance (approximate) the trainer had to travel to this track.

Explanation of Prize Money

Tot $PMTotal prize money earned
Car$/STPrize money earned per start
Joc L50Total prize money won last 50 rides
Joc PMTotal prize money won last 350 rides
Tra L50Total prize money won last 50 runners
Tra PMTotal prize money won last 350 runners

Course and distance record, horse jockey combination

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Horse stats on distance and track condition.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Statistics shown are for the Jockey, Trainer and Sire for their last 50 rides/starts and last 350 rides starts. Use the button above to toggle between runs/starts and win/pace percentages.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Statistics shown are for the jockey for the Horse, Jockey, Trainer at this particular course. Use the button above to toggle between runs/starts and win/pace percentages.

All Stats are self explanatory and show totals for win, place and race starts.

Explanation of detailed forms

Raced DistanceDisplays the distances the horse has raced over
CarPMCareer Prizemoney
12mPMPrizemoney earnt in the last 12 months
API$1000 of dollars won per start
RTC/kmRuns this campaign and total KM's traveled in those starts (FU-First Up)
RunsDistTCRuns at the distance this campaign
DLSDays since last start
DLWDays since last win (number of starts since last win)
CarCareer stats
12m12 months stats
CrsCourse Stats
DistStats for this race distance
FastFast Track Stats
GoodGood Track Stats
SoftSoft Track Stats
HeavyHeavy Track Stats
AW/TurfAll Weather (all types) of Stats
G1Group 1 Stats
G2Group 2 Stats
G3Group 3 Stats
LRListed Races Stats
FUFirst Up Stats
2U2nd Up Stats
3U3rd Up Stats
ClockWStats when racing Clockwise
AClockWStats when racing Anti-Clockwise
DODDegree of Difficulty from last start to this start
KGRracing & Sports Kilogram Ratings, a numerical figure used to express the merit of the run
[o]Ongoing Winners - A list of horses who have race from this race in the following 30 days of the race and the Wins/Places and Starts they have records. Click on the [o] to see these runs.

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