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Read our AFL expert tips and analysis for every game in this season of the 2024 premiership season with Betfair’s AFL betting expert Joel Cashman. Includes game summaries, AFL expert tips and best Back and Lay bets for every round.
COLLINGWOOD VS MELBOURNE
Betting Strategy
LAY: (Match Odds) Melbourne for 0.5 units (Rated at $2.30)
The Demons are at a surprisingly short price considering the Magpies have been one of their toughest opponents in recent years. Collingwood have won five of their last six matches against Melbourne, including a 38-point victory in Round 14 this season. The Dees were impressive against the Suns last week, but it was their first win in five weeks. Meanwhile, the Pies have won three of their last four matches, with two victories coming against top-8 sides.
GEELONG VS WEST COAST
Betting Strategy
BACK: (Handicap) Geelong (-51.5 pts) for 0.5 units (Rated at $1.90)
West Coast broke their travelling hoodoo recently, but they have still performed horribly on the road this season. The Eagles have lost nine of their 10 away games this season by an average of 56 points. Geelong have won their last five games against West Coast at GMHBA Stadium by an average margin of 71.8 points!
RICHMOND VS GOLD COAST
Betting Strategy
BACK: (Match Odds) Gold Coast for 0.25 units (Rated at $1.62)
Gold Coast will be hoping to finish their season with a win after falling short of finals for yet another year. The Suns have a brilliant record over Richmond, winning all of their last four matches against the Tigers. Richmond have had a season to forget, winning just twice this year and losing 17 of their last 18 matches.
HAWTHORN VS NORTH MELBOURNE
Betting Strategy
BACK: (Handicap) Hawthorn (-52.5 pts) for 0.5 units (Rated at $1.82)
The Hawks have been the number one attacking side in recent weeks, putting teams away early and winning by significant margins. Their last four wins have been by 10+ goals. The Hawks have covered the line in all of their five matches this season when starting as favourite.
SYDNEY VS ADELAIDE
Betting Strategy
BACK: (Total Points) Over 174.5 pts for 0.75 units (Rated at $1.90)
Adelaide's form has gone up and down all season, but they have consistently played in high scoring matches throughout. Seven of the last nine matches involving Adelaide have gone over the total. The Crows last four away matches have been over the total and averaged 193 total match points! Sydney play a high scoring brand at the SCG, with five of their last seven home games going over the total at an average of 178 match points.
BRISBANE VS ESSENDON
Betting Strategy
BACK: (Handicap) Brisbane (-36.5 pts) for 0.5 units (Rated at $1.89)
Brisbane have been dominant against the Bombers for a few seasons now, winning four of the last five matches and these wins coming at a margin of 46 points. The Lions have won six of their last seven at the Gabba.
WESTERN BULLDOGS VS GWS
Betting Strategy
BACK: (Handicap) GWS (+13.5 pts) for 0.5 units (Rated at $1.90)
GWS have had a flawless run home, winning seven straight matches including three as the underdog. The Western Bulldogs haven't always handled the favouritism well, failing to cover the line in three of their last five games as the favourite. The last time these two sides played at Ballarat, GWS were victorious by five points in 2023.
FREMANTLE VS PORT ADELAIDE
Betting Strategy
BACK: (Match Odds) Port Adelaide for 0.5 units (Rated at $2.14)
Port Adelaide are considered to be underdogs despite winning five straight games and seven of their last eight. Fremantle have lost their last three matches and have a shocking record against the Power. Fremantle has a 1-5 record in their previous six matches with Port Adelaide.
CARLTON VS ST.KILDA
Betting Strategy
BACK: (Handicap) St Kilda (+3.5 pts) for 0.5 units (Rated at $1.82)
St Kilda may be out of finals contention, but they are still wreaking havoc on the competition, with recent upsets against Geelong, Essendon and Sydney. The Saints have won five of their last six matches at Marvel Stadium. It is a must win match for the Blues, however, they have only won twice in the last seven weeks with those two wins coming against West Coast (16th) and North Melbourne (17th).
AFL TIPS AND BETTING STRATEGIES
Welcome to Betfair's AFL Tipping page for 2024! You will find AFL previews, betting tips and strategies for the 2024 premiership season from our team of footy experts. With 18 teams in the AFL, 24 rounds this season made up of 207 matches, the team at Betfair is here to help you navigate the season from a betting point of view. We'll be providing our expert picks for every game and once the regular season is over and we are left with 8 finals teams, the tips don't stop there as we've got you covered for the finals series as well.
Each week, we'll be putting out betting advice for every game of the round including best bets for the week, value picks, lay tips and player prop selections. These will range from margin picks, first goal scorers, who to bet at the line and of course who the Betfair team think will win each game. When making their weekly AFL tips, our experts will look at recent form, statistics from throughout the season, historical trends and rely on their developed betting knowledge giving you informed selections backed up by data.
The latest AFL tips will be posted on this page each week as teams get released for the round as the in and outs of each team can dramatically impact who wins a game of football. This is why it's also important to keep an eye out for late changes teams may swing, and adjust your betting strategies accordingly. For example, if a key defender is out, the opposing team's key forward might be due for a big game.
A great feature of Betfair is that you'll be able to put our tips on the Betfair Hub to use on the Betfair Exchange as not only does Betfair provide expert betting content, we are also a betting exchange where punters can bet against each other. You've got a wide range of AFL markets on the exchange which our tips cover including futures markets like the premiership market, top 4, top 8, wooden spoon and much more.
Our tipping content is tailored to the unique features you'll only find on the Betfair Exchange making it the perfect place to action the tips you'll find on this page. Simply click on the blue and pink widgets next to the tips depending on whether you want to back or lay the tip, and you'll be taken straight to the correlating market on the exchange where you can place your bets.
Not only have we got weekly footy tipping content, but Betfair also has a wide range of AFL related betting articles that'll keep you informed throughout the 2024 football calendar which you can find here. So what are you waiting for? Kick your AFL season into gear with premium AFL betting tips thanks to the Betfair Hub. Play your way with Betfair.
